Summary
Both of these projects develop novel methodologies which demonstrably improve upon previous approaches to the issues addressed. The study of arrival numbers takes as its underlying approach a function transfer method whereby models relating the number of visitors to a sample of sites are estimated and then applied to predict arrivals at other sites. Here the basic assumption is that the functional relationship between the number of arrivals and a well specified set of predictors (such as measures of population distribution and socio-economic profile, accessibility and travel time, substitute availability, site characteristics,etc.), as described by the coefficients on those predictors, will hold between sites.
